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To explore pathways for deep decarbonization in Iran's power sector through renewable energy and policy reforms.

May 7, 2026Sustainable FuturesOpen Access

Pathways to deep decarbonization in Iran’s power sector: Integrating renewable energy expansion and electricity subsidy reform

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To explore pathways for deep decarbonization in Iran's power sector through renewable energy and policy reforms.
Developed an integrated modeling approach using the MESSAGE energy system model and ARDL demand model.
Evaluated provincial-level renewable energy expansion and subsidy reform's impact on electricity demand and emissions.
Gradual subsidy removal could reduce cumulative electricity demand by ~10% by 2050.
Renewable capacity could increase from 8% in 2024 to about 78% by 2050, leading to a 53% reduction in CO₂ emissions from the power sector.

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Modeling shows improved renewable energy and subsidy reforms could cut CO₂ emissions in Iran's power sector.

Hafezi et al. (2026) studied this question.

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