Key result
Predicted 10-year CVD risk in English adults declines significantly from 1998 to 2017.
Why the study?
Creating harmonized datasets from repeated population surveys to model cardiovascular risk trends is challenging due to changes in survey methodology over time. This study aimed to create a harmonized dataset to estimate trends in predicted 10-year CVD risk in England.
Cross-Sectional (n=61,629)
Yes
p-value: p=<.001
Harmonized data from repeated cross-sectional health surveys show a significant decline in the predicted 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in the English adult population between 1998 and 2017.
Authors
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Supports monitoring of CVD risk trends in England; leaves open specific drivers and generalizability.
Scholes et al. (2025) conducted a cross-sectional in Cardiovascular disease risk (n=61,629). Survey year (1998 to 2017) was evaluated on Mean predicted 10-year CVD risk (p=<.001). The absolute predicted 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in the English adult population declined significantly between 1998 and 2017 in both sexes (P<.001 for linear trend).
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