Key result
Nine-variable clinical model predicts five-year mortality in older CKD patients with a 0.72 c-statistic.
Cohort (n=1,617)
Effect estimate: c statistic 0.72 (95% CI 0.68-0.74)
A simple 9-variable clinical prediction model can fairly accurately predict 5-year mortality risk in older adults with CKD, which may assist in clinical decision-making and patient counseling.
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May guide prognosis discussions in older CKD adults; leaves open external validation before clinical use.
Bansal et al. (2015) conducted a cohort in Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) (n=1,617). 9-variable mortality prediction model was evaluated on 5-year risk of mortality (c statistic 0.72, 95% CI 0.68-0.74). A 9-variable clinical prediction model for 5-year mortality in older adults with CKD demonstrated fair discrimination, with a c-statistic of 0.72 (95% CI 0.68-0.74) in the development cohort.
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