Lipid Variability and the Risk of Incident Peripheral Artery Disease

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence highlights the clinical significance of lipid variability in cardiovascular disease and adverse outcomes. This study investigated the relationship between lipid variability and incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 93,948 patients in the Chang Gung Research Database in Taiwan who had been diagnosed with hyperlipidemia between 2007 and 2013 and had annual lipid measurements over 4 consecutive years. Lipid levels, including total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides, as well as their visit-to-visit variability, were assessed over the 4-year period. Patients were followed until December 31, 2019 for incident PAD development. Over a mean 5.9-year follow-up, 2,735 patients (2.5%) developed PAD. Mean lipid levels were significantly associated with incident PAD. Of note, the average real variability (ARV) in HDL-C was independently associated with increased PAD risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.13; 95% confidence interval 1.004-1.27 for highest vs. lowest quartile of HDL-C ARV; P for trend=0.002). Sensitivity analysis using variability independent of the mean as the HDL-C variability index confirmed this finding. Consistency was observed across all subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In this multi-institutional database analysis, visit-to-visit variability in HDL-C was significantly associated with the risk of incident PAD, independent of traditional risk factors for atherosclerosis, mean lipid levels, and the use of lipid-lowering therapy.