Key result
Seven baseline comorbidities explain ~47% of incident HF, especially in women and adults under 60.
Why the study?
Little evidence exists regarding sex- and age-specific differences in the associations between comorbidities and incident heart failure.
What are the sex- and age-specific differences in the associations between comorbidities and incident heart failure in a general adult population?
Cohort (n=102,278)
What are the sex- and age-specific differences in the associations between comorbidities and incident heart failure in a general adult population?
Effect estimate: PAF 47.1% (95% CI 41.4-52.2)
Common comorbidities account for nearly half of incident heart failure risk, with a disproportionately higher impact in women and younger adults (<60 years).
Comorbidities may explain nearly half of incident HF risk, stronger in women and adults <60; leaves open targeted prevention trials.
BACKGROUND: Little evidence exists regarding the sex- and age-specific differences in the associations of comorbidities and incident heart failure (HF). AIMS: This study aims to evaluate the sex- and age-specific associations of comorbidities and incident HF, and further calculate the population attributable fractions (PAFs) of comorbid diseases for HF by sex and age. METHODS: Data were from a sub-cohort of the Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project from Southern China. Participants were stratified by sex and age (<60 or ≥60). The seven comorbidities were collected at baseline, and the study outcome was HF-related hospitalization identified from the Inpatients Registry. RESULTS: A total of 102 278 participants (mean age: 54.3 years, 60.5% were women) without prevalent HF were included. After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 1588 participants had incident HF. Men, older age (≥60 years) and most comorbidities were significantly associated with a higher risk of HF. The associations between several comorbidities with incident HF were more prominent in women and young participants aged <60 than in men and seniors. The seven comorbidities collectively explained a significant proportion of PAF for HF (47.1%, 95% confidence interval: 41.4, 52.2), and several sex- and age-specific differences in PAFs of comorbidities for incident HF were also observed. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, prospective cohort study, several sex- and age-specific differences in the associations between common comorbidities and incident HF were found among Chinese general adults, highlighting the importance of sex- and age-specific preventive strategies for HF.
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Qiu et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in Incident heart failure (n=102,278). Seven baseline comorbidities was evaluated on HF-related hospitalization (PAF 47.1%, 95% CI 41.4-52.2). Seven baseline comorbidities collectively explained 47.1% (95% CI 41.4-52.2) of the population attributable fraction for incident heart failure, with stronger associations in women and adults <60.
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