Key result
Combining AI-ECG biological age with chronological age improves aging-related disease risk classification by ~21%.
Why the study?
Does an AI-enabled ECG biological age model improve the prediction of aging-related diseases compared to chronological age alone in adults?
Observational (n=48,783)
No
Does an AI-enabled ECG biological age model improve the prediction of aging-related diseases compared to chronological age alone in adults?
Effect estimate: 21.0%
An AI-enabled ECG biological age model significantly improves diagnostic accuracy and risk classification for aging-related diseases by 21% compared to chronological age alone.
May refine risk stratification for aging-related diseases on routine ECGs; leaves open prospective validation before clinical adoption.
An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model has been developed in a healthy adult population to predict ECG biological age (ECG-BA). This ECG-BA exhibited a robust correlation with chronological age (CA) in healthy adults and additionally significantly enhanced the prediction of aging-related diseases' onset in adults with subclinical diseases. The model showed particularly strong predictive power for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular diseases such as stroke, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial occlusive disease, myocardial infarction, Alzheimer's disease, osteoarthritis, and cancers. When combined with CA, ECG-BA improved diagnostic accuracy and risk classification by 21% over using CA alone, notably offering the greatest improvements in cancer prediction. The net reclassification improvement significantly reduced misclassification rates for disease onset predictions. This comprehensive study validates ECG-BA as an effective supplement to CA, advancing the precision of risk assessments for aging-related conditions and suggesting broad implications for enhancing preventive healthcare strategies, potentially leading to better patient outcomes.
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Liu et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Aging-related diseases (n=48,783). ECG-enabled biological age (ECG-BA) combined with chronological age (CA) vs. Chronological age (CA) alone was evaluated on Net reclassification improvement (NRI) for aging-related diseases (21.0%). Combining AI-enabled electrocardiogram biological age with chronological age improved risk classification for aging-related diseases by an average of 21% compared to chronological age alone.
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