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May 24, 2026European Heart Journal OpenOpen Access

High lifetime endurance exercise in middle-aged men is linked to ~116% higher AF/AFL odds.

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Why the study?

Although a J-shaped relationship between exercise and AF or atrial flutter has been described, the influence of specific sport disciplines is unknown.

Does higher lifetime endurance exercise volume or specific sport discipline increase the prevalence of atrial fibrillation or flutter in middle-aged men?

Population

3939 middle-aged male candidates for the Master@Heart study

Comparison

Quartiles of lifetime endurance exercise hours (Q2-Q4 vs Q1) and sport disciplines

Design

Cross-sectional questionnaire study

Key result

In middle-aged males, >12231 hours of lifetime endurance exercise was associated with increased odds of AF/AFL compared to ≤1778 hours (OR 2.16; 95% CI 1.48-3.15; p<0.001).

Authors

JPJ De PaepeAWAstrid WittersRBRuben De Bosscher

Discussion

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Overview

High-volume endurance exercise was associated with increased AF/AFL odds; supports J-shaped relationship but leaves causality and practice change open.

Key Points

  • To investigate the relationship between endurance exercise volume and the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) in middle-aged males.
  • Analyzed questionnaire data from 3939 candidates in the Master@Heart study
  • Participants categorized into quartiles based on lifetime endurance exercise hours
  • Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association between exercise volume/type and AF/AFL.
  • AF/AFL prevalence was 7.5%, increasing significantly across lifetime exercise quartiles (p < 0.001)
  • Q2-Q4 had significantly higher odds ratios for AF/AFL compared to Q1, with Q4 showing an OR of 2.16, 95% CI [1.48–3.15], p < 0.001
  • Only cycling was independently associated with AF/AFL, showing an OR of 1.51, 95% CI [1.11–2.07], p = 0.010.

Study Design

Type

Cross-Sectional (n=3,939)

Structured PICO

Does higher lifetime endurance exercise volume or specific sport discipline increase the prevalence of atrial fibrillation or flutter in middle-aged men?

P
Population
3939 middle-aged male candidates for the Master@Heart study
I
Intervention
Higher lifetime endurance exercise volume (Q2-Q4, >1778 hours) and specific sport disciplines (e.g., cycling)
C
Comparator
Lowest quartile of lifetime endurance exercise (Q1 ≤1778 hours)
O
Outcome
Prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL)hard clinical

Main Result

Effect estimate: OR 2.16 (95% CI 1.48-3.15)

Absolute Event Rate: 9.6% vs 4.8%

p-value: p=<0.001

High-volume lifetime endurance exercise, particularly cycling, is associated with a progressively increased risk of atrial fibrillation and flutter in middle-aged men.

Cite This Study

Paepe et al. (2026) conducted a cross-sectional in Atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter (n=3,939). Lifetime endurance exercise volume vs. ≤1778 hours (Q1) was evaluated on AF/AFL prevalence (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.48-3.15, p=<0.001). In middle-aged males, >12231 hours of lifetime endurance exercise was associated with increased odds of AF/AFL compared to ≤1778 hours (OR 2.16; 95% CI 1.48-3.15; p<0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1295ce48a0ea16656720bchttps://doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oeag089
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1The relationship between reported endurance exercise and atrial fibrillation in middle-aged males2025
  2. 2The timing and relationship of atrial fibrillation with exercise in veteran male endurance athletes2026
  3. 3Emerging risk factors and the dose–response relationship between physical activity and lone atrial fibrillation: a prospective case–control study2015 · 150 citations
  4. 4Endurance sport practice as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter2008 · 293 citations
  5. 5Atrial fibrillation is associated with different levels of physical activity levels at different ages in men2014 · 179 citations