Key result
A multivariate model including cardiogenic shock and other variables predicted in-hospital mortality in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI with an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.922-0.944; p<0.0001).
Why the study?
Despite expanding treatment options, residual in-hospital mortality after primary PCI remains 5 to 10 percent, with concerns that ST-elevation MI mortality cannot be reduced further.
Cohort (n=2,035)
No
Cardiogenic shock and specific clinical and angiographic factors strongly predict in-hospital mortality in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI, highlighting the need for dedicated shock management systems to further reduce mortality.
May aid risk stratification in STEMI PCI; extends prior models but requires prospective validation before clinical use.
Objectives . We aimed to analyse data from our high-volume interventional centre (>1000 primary percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) per year) searching for predictors of in-hospital mortality in acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients. Moreover, we looked for realistic strategies and interventions for lowering in-hospital mortality under the “ 5 percent threshold.” Background . Although interventional and medical treatment options are constantly expanding, recent studies reported a residual in-hospital mortality ranging between 5 and 10 percent after primary PCI. Current data sustain that mortality after ST-elevation MI will soon reach a point when cannot be reduced any further. Methods . In this retrospective observational single-centre cohort study, we investigated two-year data from a primary PCI registry including 2035 consecutive patients. Uni- and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. Results . All variables correlated with mortality in univariate analysis were introduced in a stepwise multivariate linear regression model. Female gender, hypertension, depressed left ventricular ejection fraction, history of MI, multivessel disease, culprit left main stenosis, and cardiogenic shock proved to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The model was validated for sensitivity and specificity using receiver operating characteristic curve. For our model, variables can predict in-hospital mortality with a specificity of 96.60% and a sensitivity of 84.68% (p<0.0001, AUC = 0.93, 95% CI 0.922–0.944). Conclusions . Our analysis identified a predictive model for in-hospital mortality. The majority of deaths were due to cardiogenic shock. We suggested that in order to lower mortality under 5 percent, focus should be on creating a cardiogenic shock system based on the US experience. A shock hub-centre, together with specific transfer algorithms, mobile interventional teams, ventricular assist devices, and surgical hybrid procedures seem to be the next step toward a better management of ST-elevation MI patients and subsequently lower death rates.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Burlacu et al. (2019) conducted a cohort in Acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) (n=2,035). Primary percutaneous coronary intervention was evaluated on In-hospital mortality prediction model (AUC 0.93, 95% CI 0.922-0.944, p=<0.0001). A multivariate model including cardiogenic shock and other variables predicted in-hospital mortality in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI with an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.922-0.944; p<0.0001).
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: