Growth and Trend in Area, Production, and Yield of Wheat Crops in Uttar Pradesh: A Johansen Co-integration Approach

This study investigated wheat crop area, production, and yield in Uttar Pradesh. Wheat crop data from 1990-91 to 2019-20 were obtained. Compound growth rate and trend analysis show that wheat crop area has reduced due to shift of rabi crops. The growth in Uttar Pradesh's per-hectare yield boosted wheat production from 1990-91 to 2019-20. The methods were calculated indicate use of semi log trend function and Johansen cointegration results, which reveal that number of irrigations affects wheat production. The study founds that cropping intensity, fertilizer, and transportation positively affected wheat production.