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May 27, 2026npj Aging0 citationsOpen Access

Serum uric acid, gout, cardiometabolic diseases, and multimorbidity: a prospective cohort study using multi-state model

CWChuanghai WuGZGuowei ZhongYYYing Yang

Key Points

  • This research aims to investigate the associations between serum uric acid, gout, and the trajectory of cardiometabolic multimorbidity and chronic conditions.
  • Prospective cohort study using UK Biobank data from over 400,000 participants.
  • Multi-state model applied to analyze transitions between CMD-free status, first CMD, multimorbidity, and death.
  • Stratified analyses by sex to observe differential impacts.
  • Higher SUA levels and gout increased the likelihood of multimorbidity and multiple chronic conditions, especially CMDs.
  • Multi-state analysis indicated SUA and gout elevate the risk for most transitions towards CMDs and CMM.
  • Sex-specific findings showed stronger associations in females compared to males.

Abstract

Abstract Multimorbidity, particularly cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), is a growing global health challenge, defined by the co-occurrence of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) like type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. While serum uric acid (SUA) and gout have been linked to various chronic conditions, their roles in multimorbidity and the CMM trajectory remain unexplored in large populations. Using data from over 400,000 UK Biobank participants, we explored the associations between SUA, gout, 36 chronic conditions, and multimorbidity. A multi-state model was applied to investigate SUA and gout’s roles in the CMM trajectory, including transitions from CMD-free status to first CMD (FCMD), CMM, and death. Analyses were conducted for the overall population and stratified by sex. We observed that higher SUA levels and gout were associated with a higher likelihood of multimorbidity and multiple chronic conditions, particularly CMDs. Multi-state analysis revealed that both SUA and gout increased the risk of most transitions. Classifying FCMDs by specific CMDs further revealed distinct roles of SUA/gout in disease-specific transitions, even at the same stage. Sex-specific analyses showed a stronger impact in females compared to males. These findings highlight the importance of managing SUA levels and gout to prevent multimorbidity and slow CMM progression, particularly in females.

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Cite This Study

Wu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a168b770c924ddd1bd5a3dfhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41514-026-00413-6
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