Validation of the European Society of Cardiology and European Society of Anaesthesiology non-cardiac surgery risk score in patients treated with coronary drug-eluting stent implantation

Aims: The current guidelines from the European Society of Cardiology and European Society of Anaesthesiology on non-cardiac surgery (ESC/ESA-NCS) divide surgical procedures into those associated with low risk (<1%), intermediate risk (1-5%), and high risk (>5%) of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Evaluating surgical risk might be particularly appropriate in patients with recent stent implantation, and thus we validated the ESC/ESA-NCS classification in patients undergoing NCS within 1 year after coronary drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation. Methods and results: By record-linking the Western Denmark Heart Registry and the Danish National Patient Registry, we identified 4046 patients, who underwent NCS between 1 and 12 months after DES implantation. Primary outcomes were MACE [cardiac death and myocardial infarction (MI)] and a combined endpoint of mortality and MI within 30 days after surgery. Both MACE (low risk 0.6%, intermediate risk 1.2%, and high risk 3.4%) and the combined endpoint of mortality and MI (1.5%, 4.6%, and 14.9%) were associated with the ESC/ESA-NCS classification. As compared with low-risk surgery, the odds ratios (OR) for MACE were 1.9 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-4.1] for intermediate-risk surgery and 5.8 (95% CI 1.7-20.1) for high-risk surgery. For the combined endpoint of mortality and MI, the OR's were 3.1 (95% CI 2.1-4.7) for intermediate-risk surgery and 11.3 (95% CI 5.9-21.9) for high-risk surgery. Conclusion: The ESC/ESA-NCS classification is a valid tool to predict the risk of both MACE and the combined endpoint of mortality and MI for patients undergoing NCS.