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Tests emergent equilibria in LLM populations, indicating dynamics in network structures.
We test whether populations of large language model (LLM) agents reproduce the quantitative predictions of classical evolutionary game theory in three canonical 2 × 2 games Hawk–Dove, Stag Hunt, and a pure coordination game—across five network topologies (complete, Erd˝os–R´enyi, Barab´asi–Albert, Watts–Strogatz, and a 2D lattice). The Hawk–Dove game provides the headline test: classical theory (Maynard Smith, 1982) predicts an evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) at Hawk frequency x∗H = V/C, a prediction confirmed for biological populations and for reinforcement learning agents on networks but not yet, to our knowledge, for frontier LLMs. We complement this with a Stag Hunt experiment that probes whether the Pareto-selection rule observed in dyadic LLM bargaining (Drakos, 2026) survives at population scale, and with a pure coordination experiment that benchmarks convention emergence. We formulate four falsifiable propositions and report empirical findings from ∼37,500 game decisions across 150 independent runs. Three findings emerge. First, frontier LLM populations approximate the Hawk–Dove ESS at V/C = 2/3 on the complete graph K25 (5-seed mean 0.643, 95% CI [0.612, 0.674] containing the theoretical 0.667) but the equilibrium frequency depreciates systematically as network sparseness or clustering increases(one-way ANOVA across the five topologies: F(4, 20) = 7.19, p = 0.0009). Second, a V/C-parameter sweep across five additional ratios reveals an attenuated parametric response: the empirical Hawk frequency tracks the theoretical V/C with slope 0.50 ± 0.04 (95% CI [0.43, 0.58]; R2 = 0.83), strongly rejecting the slope-1 null (t(38) = −13.35, p < 10−15). The LLM population compresses toward 0.5 action balance regardless of payoff parameters, over-Hawking below V/C = 0.5 and under-Hawking above. Third, in Stag Hunt all twenty-five runs reach 100% Stag (perfect Pareto-selection), and in pure coordination the population deterministically selects whichever action is listed first in the prompt enumeration (29/29 runs).
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Stefanos Drakos (2026) studied this question.
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