Observational study reveals that lumbar bone mineral density predicts thoracolumbar kyphosis in postmenopausal women, indicating risk occurs before vertebral compression fractures.
Background: To investigate whether thoracolumbar kyphosis (TLK) of the spine is related to the reduction of bone mineral density (BMD) in postmenopausal osteoporosis women, and whether BMD of postmenopausal osteoporosis women can predict the occurrence of TLK. Binary logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to determine independent risk factors and cut-off values, respectively. Results: There were significant differences in the BMD(L), BMD(F), thoracolumbar junction Cobb angle, lumbar spine Cobb angle, T11/12-L1/2 height difference of the posterior and anterior edge of intervertebral space (HDPAIS), single vertebra Cobb angle (SVC), procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide (PINP) and 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25-(OH)D] between the study and control groups. Through binary logistic regression analysis, we found that BMD(L), PINP, bone alkaline phosphatase, and 25-(OH)D were independent risk factors for future TLK in postmenopausal women. According to the ROC curve, the prediction accuracy of BMD(L) was the highest. By calculating the critical value, we found that when the BMD(L) T-score <-1.65, postmenopausal women were more likely to develop TLK. Conclusions: In postmenopausal osteoporosis patients, TLK will occur even if there is no compression fracture, and when the BMD(L) T-score <-1.65, postmenopausal women are more likely to develop TLK in the future.
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Guo et al. (2022) studied this question.
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