What question did this study set out to answer?

This research aims to analyze how macroeconomic and geopolitical factors impact China's exports to the U.S. over nearly two decades.

An Empirical Assessment of Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Determinants of CHINA-U.S. Export Dynamics (2004-2023)

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Empirical assessment reveals macroeconomic and geopolitical factors impact U.S.-China export dynamics, indicating strategies for sustainable growth.

This research aims to analyze how macroeconomic and geopolitical factors impact China's exports to the U.S. over nearly two decades.
Utilized an OLS econometric model to evaluate export performance.
Examined data from 2004 to 2023, focusing on key economic indicators.
Analyzed the effects of exchange rates, foreign reserves, gold prices, and foreign direct investment.
Exchange rate fluctuations significantly affect export performance, with currency appreciation reducing exports.
Foreign reserves and foreign direct investment positively correlate with export capacity.
The 2018-2019 trade war period notably slowed China's export expansion to the U.S.

Taskovski et al. (2026) studied this question.

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Empirical assessment reveals macroeconomic and geopolitical factors impact U.S.-China export dynamics, indicating strategies for sustainable growth.