Key result
Lower PNI score modestly predicts recurrent pericardial effusion after pericardiocentesis with ~0.63 AUC.
Why the study?
Recurrence of pericardial effusion can occur despite successful pericardiocentesis, and predicting recurrence is important for guiding treatment strategies.
Does the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) predict the recurrence of pericardial effusion in patients who have undergone pericardiocentesis?
Observational (n=113)
Does the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) predict the recurrence of pericardial effusion in patients who have undergone pericardiocentesis?
A low Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI < 40.75) is a simple and independent predictor of pericardial effusion recurrence following pericardiocentesis.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Low PNI may flag higher recurrence risk after pericardiocentesis; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation before clinical adoption.
Objective: Recurrence of pericardial effusion is possible despite the successful completion of pericardiocentesis and initiation of treatment. Predicting recurrence is important for determining treatment strategies. This study aimed to examine the factors that influence the recurrence of effusion in patients who had undergone pericardiocentesis. Method: A total of 113 patients with the evidence of tamponade or pericardial effusion over 10 mm were included in the study. The mean follow‐up period was 49 months. Patients with and without recurrent effusion were divided into two groups. PNI calculation (PNI = 10 × serum albumin (g/dL) + 0.005 × total lymphocyte count (mm 3 ) formula was used. Results: Recurrent pericardial effusion was observed in 30 patients during the follow‐up period. There was no difference in age, gender, hypertension, LVEF%, hypertension, and appearance of fluid when the two groups were compared. There was a difference in PNI score and presence of malignancy between the two groups ( p : 0.031 and 0.042, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression showed that malignancy and PNI score were independent predictors of recurrence in patients undergoing pericardiocentesis ( p : 0.015 and p : 0.014, respectively). In the ROC analysis, PNI < 40.75 predicts recurrent pericardial effusion with 75% sensitivity and 58% specificity (AUC: 0.626, 95% CI: 0.509–0.742, and p = 0.042). Conclusion: Predictors of recurrence in patients undergoing pericardiocentesis are important for patient follow‐up. PNI is a simple and useful score that can be used to predict recurrent pericardial effusion.
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Başkurt et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Pericardial effusion and tamponade (n=113). Low Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) vs. Higher PNI scores was evaluated on Recurrent pericardial effusion (AUC 0.626, 95% CI 0.509-0.742, p=0.042). A Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) score < 40.75 significantly predicted recurrent pericardial effusion after pericardiocentesis, demonstrating an AUC of 0.626 with 75% sensitivity and 58% specificity.
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