Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Anticipating the future is both a social obligation and intellectual challenge that no scientific discipline can escape. The field of international studies is no exception to this, and we believe that few other disciplines reflect so deeply about their own capacity to provide accurate forecasts and to deliver useful early warning schemes.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Schneider et al. (2010) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: