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June 4, 2026Insect Conservation and DiversityOpen Access

Predicting habitat suitability of selected Meloidae species and future potential refugia: A case study from inner Western Anatolia

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Authors

MDMuhammed Arif DemırMKMahmut Kabalak

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Overview

Multi-species assessment reveals potential refugia and habitat shifts for Meloidae beetles in climate change scenarios.

Key Points

  • This research aims to assess climate-driven shifts in suitable habitats for Meloidae beetles in Inner Western Anatolia.
  • Utilized ecological niche models (ENMs) to predict current and future distributions of eight Meloidae species.
  • Considered bioclimatic, topographic, and land-cover predictors under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).
  • Conducted overlay analyses to identify robust multi-species refugia.
  • Widespread species like Mylabris variabilis may shift to higher elevations, while Alosimus chalybaeus could face significant range reductions under high-emission scenarios.
  • Identified mountain systems such as Domaniç, Eğrigöz, and Murat as potential multi-species refugia under future climate conditions.
  • Highlighted that many predicted refugia currently lack suitable habitats for heliophilic beetles due to dense forest cover.

Cite This Study

Demır et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2117dfd499ed480b170bc6https://doi.org/10.1111/icad.70092
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