Key result
Previous myocardial infarction (HR 3.62; 95% CI 1.70-7.73) increased cardiovascular mortality, whereas statin use (HR 0.08; 95% CI 0.007-0.42) and implanted defibrillators were protective.
Cohort (n=372)
No
In patients with mild/moderate systolic heart failure followed in a specialist clinic, survival has improved, with cardiovascular mortality at 12% at 60 months, though morbidity remains a target for improvement.
Prior MI signals higher CV mortality risk in mild systolic HF; observational associations leave open whether statins or ICDs improve outcomes.
OBJECTIVE: To relate therapeutic issues, comorbidities and functional parameters to mortality/morbidity of mild/moderate heart failure patients. METHODS: From our heart failure clinic, 372 heart failure patients (269 men, aged 66 ± 11 years), with stable heart failure and ejection fraction 45% or less were recruited. Survival curves were estimated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. Associations of protective/risk factors with cardiovascular mortality/morbidity were also evaluated. RESULTS: One hundred and two patients (27%) died (aged 70 ± 10 years at diagnosis, 76 ± 10 at death) during follow-up (overall mortality at 60 months: 19.2%; mean follow-up period: 67 ± 44 months). Cardiovascular deaths were 64 (63% of total deaths, 44 men, age at diagnosis 70 ± 9). Cardiovascular mortality at 60 months was 12%; standardized mortality ratio was 5.9 for women and 6.8 for men. The remaining 38 patients (37% of total deaths, 30 men, age at diagnosis 70 ± 10) died of noncardiovascular causes. Overall, noncardiovascular mortality at 60 months was 7.2%; mean survival time from diagnosis to death was 63 ± 69 months (median 42, Q1 = 27.5, Q3 = 77.7). Average cardiovascular admission rate was 1.63 ± 1.84 admissions/patient. At multivariate analysis, only previous history of myocardial infarction [hazard ratio: 3.62 (1.70-7.73)], class of ejection fraction at diagnosis [hazard ratio: 0.36 (0.32-0.60)], acute cardiac decompensation at any time [hazard ratio: 1.55 (1.32-1.84)], implanted defibrillator [hazard ratio: 0.11 (0.01-0.83)] and use of statins [hazard ratio: 0.08 (0.007-0.42)] were independently associated with cardiovascular mortality. Factors associated to higher annual cardiovascular morbidity were age at diagnosis, chronic renal failure, diabetes, cardiac decompensation at any time, female sex and diuretic therapy. Angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and/or angiotensin-receptor-blockers reduced annual cardiovascular morbidity. CONCLUSION: Survival in mild/moderate heart failure patients has consistently improved. Further improvements are warranted in terms of morbidity reduction.
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Fragasso et al. (2011) conducted a cohort in chronic mild/moderate systolic heart failure (n=372). Comorbidities and therapeutic factors (e.g., previous MI, statin use) vs. Patients without the respective risk factors or therapies was evaluated on cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. Previous myocardial infarction (HR 3.62; 95% CI 1.70-7.73) increased cardiovascular mortality, whereas statin use (HR 0.08; 95% CI 0.007-0.42) and implanted defibrillators were protective.
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