Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Notes 1 Morten Valbjørn & André Bank (2010) Examining the 'Post' in Post-democratization – The Future of Middle Eastern Political Rule Through Lenses of the Past, Middle East Critique, 19(3), pp. 183–200. 2 Fred Halliday (Citation2002) A New Global Configuration, in Ken Booth & Timothy Dunne (eds) Worlds in Collision: Terror and the Future of Global Order, pp. 235–244 (New York: Palgrave), p. 235. 3 Carl Gershman (Citation2011) The Fourth Wave, The New Republic, March 14. Available at: http://www.tnr.com/article/world/85143/middle-east-revolt-democratization?page=0,0&utm_source=The%20New%20Republic&utm_campaign=fff6c99e83-TNR_Pol_031411&utm_medium=email (accessed March 2, 2012) 4 Cf. Holger Albrecht & Oliver Schlumberger (Citation2004) 'Waiting for Godot': Regime Change without Democratization in the Middle East, International Political Science Review, 25(4), pp. 371–392. 5 Oliver Schlumberger (Citation2007) Debating Arab Authoritarianism Dynamics and Durability in Nondemocratic Regimes (Stanford: Stanford University Press). 6 Adrian Lobe (Citation2011) Politologie: Die Wissenschaft vom stabilen Orient, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, March 24. Available at: http://www.faz.net/aktuell/feuilleton/geisteswissenschaften/politologie-die-wissenschaft-vom-stabilen-orient-1606776.html (accessed March 2, 2012). For a rejoinder, see Oliver Schlumberger (Citation2011) Nahost-Experten, echte und andere, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, March 31. Available at: http://www.faz.net/aktuell/feuilleton/forschung-und-lehre/kritik-an-politikwissenschaft-nahost-experten-echte-und-andere-1610582.html (accessed March 2, 2012) 7 Michael C. Hudson (Citation2011) Awakening, Cataclysm, or just a Series of Events? Reflections on the Current Wave of Protest in the Arab World, Jadaliyya Blog, May 16. Available at: http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/1601/awakening-cataclysm-or-just-a-series-of-events-ref (accessed March 2, 2012) 8 F. Gregory Gause (Citation2011a) Why Middle East Studies Missed the Arab Spring: The Myth of Authoritarian Stability, Foreign Affairs, 90(4), pp. 81–90 and F. Gregory Gause (Citation2011b) The Middle East Academic Community and the 'Winter of Arab Discontent, in: Ellen Laipson (ed.) Seismic Shift: Understanding Change in the Middle East, pp. 11–27 (Washington DC: The Henry L. Stimson Center). 9 Marc Lynch (Citation2011) After Egypt: The Limits and Promise of Online Challenges to the Authoritarian Arab State, Perspectives on Politics, 9(2), pp. 301–310. 10 Steven Heydemann & Reinoud Leenders (Citation2011) Authoritarian Learning and Authoritarian Resilience: Regime Responses to the 'Arab Awakening,' in: Globalizations, 8(5), pp. 647–653. 11 Morten Valbjørn (Citation2010) Post-democratization Lessons from the Jordanian 'Success Story, Foreign Policy: The Middle East Channel, June 16. Available at: http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/06/15/post_democratization_lessons_from_the_jordanian_success_story (accessed March 2, 2012) 12 Jason Brownlee & Joshua Stacher (Citation2011) Change of Leader, Continuity of System: Nascent Liberalization in Post-Mubarak Egypt, Comparative Democratization, 9(2), pp. 1–9 and Goldberg, Ellis (2011) Mubarakism Without Mubarak - Why Egypt's Military Will Not Embrace Democracy, Foreign Affairs - Snapshot, no. February 11. Available at: http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67416/ellis-goldberg/mubarakism-without-mubarak (accessed March 2, 2012) 13 Eva Bellin (Citation2011), Lessons from the Jasmine and Nile Revolutions: Possibilities of Political Transformation in the Middle East? Middle East Brief, 50 (May), Brandeis University's Crown Center for Middle East Studies, pp. 1–8 14 Francis Fukuyama (Citation2011) Political Order in Egypt, The American Interest, 6(5), pp. 7–12. 15 Mark Sedgwick (Citation2010) Measuring Egyptian Regime Legitimacy, Middle East Critique, 19(3), pp. 251–267. 16 The argument is developed further in Valbjørn, Morten and Rasmus Alenius Boserup (2012) Genpolitisering og post-demokratisering: Studiet af mellemøstlig politik i lyset af de arabiske revolter, POLITIK, 15(1), pp. 43-51. 17 Lust, Ellen (2011) Why Now? Micro Transitions and the Arab Uprisings, The Monkeycage, 24 October. Available at: http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2011/10/24/why-now-micro-transitions-and-the-arab-uprisings/ (accessed March 2, 2012) and Mona El-Ghobashy (Citation2011) Politics by Other Means: In Egypt, Street Protests Set the Agenda, Boston Review, November/December, pp. 39–44. 18 Steven Heydemann (Citation2007) Upgrading Authoritarianism in the Arab World, Saban Center Analysis Paper (Washington: Brookings Institution). 19 Lynch, After Egypt. 20 Lisa Anderson (Citation2006) Searching Where the Light Shines: Studying Democratization in the Middle East, Annual Review of Political Science, 9(1), pp. 189–214. 21 El-Ghobashy, Politics. 22 Asef Bayat (Citation2010) Life as Politics: How Ordinary People Change the Middle East (Stanford: Stanford University Press). 23 Lust, Why Now? 24 Valbjørn, Post-democratization. 25 Cf. Anderson, Searching; and James A. Bill (Citation1996) The Study of Middle East Politics, 1946–1996: A Stocktaking, Middle East Journal, 50(4), pp. 501–512. 26 Cf. Gause, Seismic, p. 14; Bellin, Lessons; Holger Albrecht & Dina Bishara (Citation2011) Back on Horseback: The Military and Political Transformation in Egypt, Middle East Law and Governance, 3(1–2), pp. 13–23; Yezid Sayigh et al. (Citation2011) Roundtable: Rethinking the Study of Middle East Militaries, International Journal of Middle East Studies, 43(3), pp. 391–407. 27 In André Bank's and my own pilot study we examined this dimension; see André Bank & Morten Valbjørn (Citation2010) Bringing the (Arab) Regional Level Back In: Jordan in the New Arab Cold War, Middle East Critique, 19(3), pp. 303–319. 28 Fukuyama, Political Order.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Morten Valbjørn (2012) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: