Randomized trial examines the Kuroshio Current main axis, revealing critical multiscale dynamics and implications for climate change.
Accurately capturing the Kuroshio’s main axis and its multiscale frontal variations remains challenging due to the constraints of traditional fixed-section extraction methods. Here, we develop an adaptive iterative tracking algorithm utilizing high-resolution reanalysis data (2002–2024) that dynamically adjusts search directions and cross-sections via local velocity vectors, integrated with a dynamic step size and two-dimensional validation. Applying a multiscale variability decomposition framework across four key regions reveals distinct spatiotemporal dynamics. The North Equatorial Current bifurcation zone exhibits a significant strengthening trend driven by seasonal zonal and decadal meridional flows. Conversely, the Kuroshio east of Taiwan is dominated by high-frequency mesoscale processes (~70%) with a semi-annual cycle and no long-term trend. The East China Sea front maintains a highly stable seasonal meridional signal (25%). Crucially, the Luzon Strait intrusion shows a significant long-term weakening trend (~0.0029 m·s−1·a−1, p < 0.01), characterized by eastward strengthening and northward weakening, with ENSO significantly modulating its seasonal cycle. This approach substantially reduces systematic extraction errors compared to traditional fixed-section methods, as independently verified using satellite SST frontal gradients (median deviation <0.2°), providing critical observational evidence for understanding western boundary current–marginal sea interactions and their dynamical responses under global warming.
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Wan et al. (2026) studied this question.
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