This critical analysis details afforestation efforts and growth outcomes in the Aral Seabed, highlighting environmental complexities.
Afforestation initiatives have been and remain a key tool to “improve” the desert and to allay state anxieties around arid lands, including in the world's newest desert, the Aralkum , which has emerged as the Aral Sea has dried and shrunk. The Uzbek state regularly announces the latest statistics on their large-scale high modernist afforestation of the Aral Seabed with the native salt-tolerant plant saxaul. Their stated goal: to mitigate the Aral “catastrophe” by stabilizing the soils of the seabed and restoring the landscape. In this paper, I present results of a critical remote sensing analysis of actual growth of afforested saxaul on the seabed. Thinking with and against different technologies of seeing (e.g., human eye, satellite sensor), I compare these results to reported afforestation activities, embedded observations from participant observation, and insights from key stakeholder interviews. Detailing human and plant labor as well as different temporalities of care for saxaul, I show how Aral Seabed afforestation is not simply an effort to create a functioning more-than-human infrastructural forest, but to perform global environmental stewardship to the world. I argue that we should see the Aral Seabed as an already extractive landscape where restoring functioning ecosystems is less important than narrating hectares planted and showing tractors moving in unison to produce and extract spectacle value. I suggest ecosystem restoration requires moving away from emergency temporalities, accepting non-scalability, and appreciating the quiet complexity of drylands, without countable trees, or forest aesthetics.
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Katherine F. Shields (2026) studied this question.
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