Evaluates the impact of covariance on confidence scores, indicating crucial findings for gate-margin assessments.
CDN-353 stress-tests the CDN-352 gate-margin ledger by adding covariance between external cap errors. The signed margin S = Theta - T_required(C,R) keeps the open/closed verdict fixed for a given cap vector, while covariance changes only sigma_S and the resulting confidence score. The locked result is COVARIANCE_CHANGES_CONFIDENCE_NOT_SIGN.
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Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier (2026) studied this question.
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