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June 28, 2026International Journal of Emerging Electric Power Systems

Online-monitoring-oriented prediction of transformer oil temperature using VMD-CEEMDAN and hybrid temporal learning

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Authors

WSWenyang Sun

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Overview

Randomized trial demonstrates improved transformer oil temperature prediction, indicating enhanced operational safety.

Key Points

  • This research aims to enhance short-term prediction of transformer oil temperature for improved condition monitoring and operational safety under varying conditions.
  • Developed a hybrid temporal learning framework incorporating VMD and CEEMDAN for oil-temperature data decomposition.
  • Employed a Transformer–BiGRU architecture to model and predict temperature from multichannel components obtained.
  • Conducted experiments on the ETTh2 dataset to compare performance against traditional models.
  • Achieved RMSE of 0.0219, MAE of 0.0160, and R2 of 0.9977, significantly outperforming baseline models.
  • Compared to BiGRU, reduced RMSE, MAE, and MAPE by approximately 24%, 26%, and 20%, respectively.
  • Showed improved tracking of temperature variations and robust performance under nonstationary conditions.

Cite This Study

Wenyang Sun (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a40b9f361bb0a67205c5f71https://doi.org/10.1515/ijeeps-2026-0155
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