Numerous attempts have been made to detect signs of ozone layer recovery over Antarctica, which has been expected since the beginning of the 21st century as a result of the reduction in concentrations of ozone-depleting substances in the Antarctic stratosphere, in accordance with the provisions of the 1987 Montreal Protocol and subsequent amendments aimed at protecting the ozone layer. Large year-to-year variability in the Antarctic ozone, driven by changes in atmospheric dynamics, has made it difficult to draw definitive conclusions about the rate of Antarctic ozone recovery. In this paper, we present an alternative approach to analyse ozone recovery by examining patterns in blue–red heatmaps of total ozone column (TOC) trends during the winter–spring period from 1980 to 2025. Three annual TOC time series (winter average, 15 September value, and spring minimum) were analysed to monitor the ozone hole development over the Syowa and Amundsen–Scott stations. Various sources of the daily TOC data were examined, including reanalysis data, ground-based measurements, and satellite observations. Regardless of the data source, we found that, for both stations, blue cells (negative trends) dominated in the areas of the heatmap where the TOC trends ended before 2000, while red cells (positive trends) appeared mostly afterwards. These results confirm the hypothesis of a trend reversal, i.e., a recovery beginning in the early 2000s, which was obscured in the original, noisy TOC time series.
Czerwińska et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
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