Risk Evaluation of Harmonized Contracts in Sulawesi Post-Disaster Reconstruction

The 2018 Central Sulawesi earthquake caused major infrastructure damage and led to post-disaster reconstruction using harmonized contracts. This study evaluates risks in permanent housing projects in Palu, Central Sulawesi, through a mixed-method approach combining interviews and questionnaires. The research aims to: (1) identify and classify emerging risk characteristics in harmonized contract implementation, (2) assess the application and effectiveness of harmonization contracts in post-disaster reconstruction, and (3) examine the extent to which these contracts facilitate cross-sector collaboration in recovery efforts. SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis was used to identify internal and external factors, while FMEA (Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) assessed risk priorities. Results show strengths in funding and eco-friendly design (IFAS=1.54), but substantial external pressures from environmental and economic uncertainties (EFAS=-0.19). FMEA identified extreme weather (RPN=512) and currency fluctuation (RPN=512) as highest-priority risks requiring immediate mitigation, alongside bureaucratic complexity (RPN=384) and community relocation resistance (RPN=384). The findings highlight the need for adaptive risk management and strong coordination for successful contract implementation.