Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Modeling infection spread and herd immunity in moving populations, highlighting infection persistence and dynamics.
In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and are removed at rate . We show that when is small, with positive probability the infection survives forever and grows linearly. Furthermore, after the infection reaches a region, it quickly passes through and leaves behind a herd immunity regime consisting of recovered particles, a small positive density of susceptible particles, and no infected particles. One notable feature of this model is the simultaneous existence of supercritical and subcritical phases on either side of an infection front of width.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Dauvergne et al. (2026) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: