Key result
PREVENT-ASCVD equations reclassify cardiovascular risk compared to 2013 PCEs.
Why the study?
To evaluate the extent of cardiovascular risk reclassification from the 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCEs) to the 2023 Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular EVENTs (PREVENT-ASCVD) equations.
Does the 2023 PREVENT-ASCVD equation alter cardiovascular risk classification compared to the 2013 pooled cohort equations in the NHANES population?
Does the 2023 PREVENT-ASCVD equation alter cardiovascular risk classification compared to the 2013 pooled cohort equations in the NHANES population?
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Captured external expert commentary on this paper, strongest first. Original sources are linked where available.
“Notably, there was no significant net change in statin recommendation, suggesting that risk recalibration with PREVENT-ASCVD does not translate into fewer people recommended for evidence-based preventive therapy at the population level.”
“I think it's going to be interesting to see what [the] public response is to the idea [that] we're basically recommending anybody over the age of 70 should be on a statin. Is that overkill?”
“The shift to a longer view of cardiovascular disease risk is a sea change for doctors in counseling patients.”
Evaluates cardiovascular risk reclassification using updated equations, indicating stronger predictions for health outcomes.
This study uses data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) to evaluate the extent of cardiovascular risk reclassification from the 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCEs) to the 2023 Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular EVENTs (PREVENT-ASCVD) equations.
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Peng et al. (2026) studied this question. The 2023 PREVENT-ASCVD equations were evaluated to determine the extent of cardiovascular risk reclassification compared to the 2013 pooled cohort equations.
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