Randomized trial examines the effects of competition and concentration on stability, suggesting new design principles for governance.
Short Abstract This paper reexamines the conventional assumption that competition is inherently beneficial while concentration is inherently harmful, and analyzes the structural conditions under which competition and concentration generate either stability or instability. The study first reinterprets excessive competition within a single field as a form of “civil-war market structure,” arguing that resource fragmentation, short-term decision making, and declining trust can transform competition from a productive mechanism into a source of systemic inefficiency. It then demonstrates that concentration confined within a clearly defined field can support long-term investment, quality improvement, and technological convergence, thereby generating rationality and sustainable stability. However, when concentration expands across multiple fields, organizations begin to acquire quasi-state characteristics, and external balancing mechanisms gradually disappear. This paper identifies such cross-sector concentration as a major source of long-term structural instability. The analysis further introduces the concept of “intellectual infrastructure industries,” whose products and services shape the informational and cognitive foundations of society. Because of their unique influence on learning, decision-making, and creativity, these industries require design principles that extend beyond conventional competition-versus-monopoly frameworks. Based on these considerations, the paper proposes the principle of “Moderate Concentration,” a structural approach that preserves the benefits of concentration while preventing uncontrolled expansion and institutional overreach. The study concludes that stability does not emerge automatically from competition or laissez-faire systems, but rather from intentional structural design incorporating boundaries, restraint, and long-term governance. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1530-4234 Please direct any questions regarding the paper to this Assistant GPT. Matsuoka x GPT Thought Experiment Lab | Research Center for Collaborative Intelligence, Optional Taxation, and BFSSU Cosmology Japanese Abstract 本論文は、「競争は善であり、集中は悪である」という近代市場経済における一般的前提を再検討し、競争と集中がいかなる条件下で安定または不安定を生み出すのかを構造的観点から分析する。 まず、同一分野内における過当競争を「内戦モデル」として再解釈し、資源の分散、短期志向の強化、信頼性の劣化を通じて、競争が必ずしも革新や効率性を生み出さないことを示す。次に、分野内に限定された集中は、長期投資、品質向上、技術的収斂を可能にし、合理性と持続的安定を生み出す構造であることを論じる。 一方で、集中が複数分野へ拡張された場合、組織は準国家的性格を帯び、外部からの抑制機構が機能しなくなる。本論文は、この「分野横断集中」を長期的な不安定性の主要因として位置づける。 さらに、情報、学習、判断、創造の基盤を提供する「知的基盤産業」の特異性を検討し、競争と集中の単純な二項対立では説明できない設計課題を明らかにする。その上で、集中の利点を活かしつつ越境と暴走を防ぐための一般原理として「節度ある集中(Moderate Concentration)」を提案する。 本研究は、安定とは競争や自由放任から自然発生するものではなく、適切な境界設定と自己制約を伴う構造設計の結果であることを示し、現代産業および社会制度設計に対する新たな視座を提示する。
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