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July 30, 2026Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Parenthood decisions in uncertain times: Experimental evidence from four countries

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Authors

AAArnstein AassveLMLetizia MencariniCPChen Peng

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Overview

Experimental study evaluates factors influencing fertility intentions in uncertain socio-economic contexts.

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore how macrolevel uncertainties and immediate circumstances influence fertility intentions across different countries.
  • Cross-national study in Italy, Argentina, the United States, and Germany.
  • Conducted a conjoint experiment to assess childbearing intentions under varying conditions.
  • Analyzed the impact of household income, homeownership, and macrolevel stability factors.
  • Household income is the strongest predictor of fertility intentions.
  • Expectations about climate conditions and economic prospects affect childbearing decisions significantly.
  • Differences in responses highlight the varying importance of macroeconomic factors in different countries, especially in Argentina.

Cite This Study

Aassve et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6af4e960e2b924d3ea070bhttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2601690123
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