What question did this study set out to answer?

To evaluate how maternity leave policy volatility, household demographic context, and female labor market conditions affect fertility patterns across emerging economies.

August 10, 2026Journal of Applied EconomicsOpen Access

Policy stability, household context, and fertility decline: a cross-national analysis of BRICS+ economies

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HRHu Rui

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Overview

Panel data analysis reveals maternity leave policy volatility exacerbates fertility decline in higher-income emerging economies, suggesting institutional predictability is essential for family...

Key Points

To evaluate how maternity leave policy volatility, household demographic context, and female labor market conditions affect fertility patterns across emerging economies.
Analyzed aggregate panel data from 10 BRICS+ economies over the period 2000–2023.
Evaluated associations between fertility rates and maternity leave policy volatility, female labor force participation, employment absorption, tertiary enrollment, and a household responsibility index.
Maternity leave policy volatility showed a stronger negative association with fertility in high-income tiers (Q4 interaction: β = −0.030, P < 0.001).
The household responsibility index was positively associated with fertility (β = 0.339, P = 0.005), interacting negatively with female labor force participation but positively with employment-to-population ratios.
Marked nonlinearities emerged in relation to employment absorption, female tertiary enrollment, and household context.

Cite This Study

Hu Rui (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7eb83d481667ae799a170e https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2026.2714631

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August 10, 2026Journal of Applied EconomicsOpen Access

Policy stability, household context, and fertility decline: a cross-national analysis of BRICS+ economies

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

HRHu Rui

Discussion

Member takes

Overview

Panel data analysis reveals maternity leave policy volatility exacerbates fertility decline in higher-income emerging economies, suggesting institutional predictability is essential for family...

Key Points

To evaluate how maternity leave policy volatility, household demographic context, and female labor market conditions affect fertility patterns across emerging economies.
Analyzed aggregate panel data from 10 BRICS+ economies over the period 2000–2023.
Evaluated associations between fertility rates and maternity leave policy volatility, female labor force participation, employment absorption, tertiary enrollment, and a household responsibility index.
Maternity leave policy volatility showed a stronger negative association with fertility in high-income tiers (Q4 interaction: β = −0.030, P < 0.001).
The household responsibility index was positively associated with fertility (β = 0.339, P = 0.005), interacting negatively with female labor force participation but positively with employment-to-population ratios.
Marked nonlinearities emerged in relation to employment absorption, female tertiary enrollment, and household context.

Cite This Study

Hu Rui (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7eb83d481667ae799a170e https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2026.2714631

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