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May 30, 2025International Journal of Environmental Health Research

Spatial mapping of dengue incidence with climate factors at district levels in Bangladesh

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Authors

SHSorif HossainAHAbid HasanMIMd. Momin Islam

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Overview

Spatial modeling study reveals distinct temperature and rainfall associations with dengue transmission across administrative districts, suggesting targeted regional mitigation strategies.

Key Points

  • Investigate the spatial distribution of dengue incidence and assess its correlation with climatic factors at the district level.
  • Gathered district-level dengue surveillance data and meteorological records from national health and weather agencies in Bangladesh.
  • Evaluated Poisson, zero-inflated, and negative binomial regression models, selecting the negative binomial model based on Akaike Information Criterion values.
  • Maximum temperature was inversely associated with dengue incidence in Dhaka District (Exp(β) = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.14 to 0.40), whereas higher minimum temperatures correlated with increased cases in Kurigram and Chapainawabganj.
  • Rainfall significantly increased dengue incidence across specific regions, including Khulna (Exp(β) = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.06), Madaripur (Exp(β) = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.25 to 1.31), and Satkhira (Exp(β) = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.16).

Cite This Study

Hossain et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6e1950660549caf2c331ffhttps://doi.org/10.1080/09603123.2025.2511800
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