Key result
A Caputo fractional-order model demonstrated that fractional-order dynamics significantly influence outbreak trajectories, identifying vaccination and environmental decontamination as key drivers of control.
Why the study?
Classical integer-order approaches fail to capture memory effects and hereditary properties inherent in Foot-and-Mouth Disease transmission dynamics involving direct and indirect environmental pathways.
A novel fractional-order mathematical model demonstrates that integrated control strategies, particularly high-efficacy vaccination and environmental decontamination, are critical for effective Foot-and-Mouth Disease management.
Novel fractional-order FMD model incorporates memory effects and interventions; hypothesis-generating and requires empirical validation before guiding strategies.
This study develops a novel Caputo fractional-order model for Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) that incorporates both direct animal-to-animal transmission and indirect environmental transmission pathways. The proposed SVEIQRB model integrates multiple intervention strategies, including vaccination, movement restriction, quarantine, biosecurity, surveillance, and culling. Using fractional-order derivatives, the model captures memory effects and hereditary properties inherent in disease dynamics, offering a more realistic representation than classical integer-order approaches. Analytical investigations establish the positivity, boundedness, and existence of unique solutions, alongside the derivation of the effective reproduction number R e . Local stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium and Hyers–Ulam stability of the system are rigorously proven. Numerical simulations, employing an Adams–Bashforth–Moulton predictor–corrector scheme, demonstrate that fractional-order dynamics significantly influence outbreak trajectories and intervention efficacy. Sensitivity analysis identifies environmental transmission rate, vaccine efficacy, and viral shedding as key drivers of disease spread. The findings underscore the importance of integrated control strategies, particularly high-efficacy vaccination and environmental decontamination, for effective FMD management in endemic regions. • A Caputo fractional-order SVEIQRB model is developed for Foot-and-Mouth Disease dynamics. • Direct animal-to-animal and indirect environmental transmission pathways are jointly modeled. • Positivity, boundedness, stability, and Hyers–Ulam stability of the model are established. • Fractional-order dynamics significantly affect outbreak size and intervention performance. • Vaccination efficacy and environmental decontamination are key drivers of FMD control.
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Ng’oga et al. (2026) studied Foot-and-Mouth Disease. Integrated control strategies (vaccination, movement restriction, quarantine, biosecurity, surveillance, and culling) was evaluated. A Caputo fractional-order model demonstrated that fractional-order dynamics significantly influence outbreak trajectories, identifying vaccination and environmental decontamination as key drivers of control.
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