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March 17, 2026Trees Forests and PeopleOpen Access

Urban forest carbon storage and sequestration on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau: Machine learning analysis and management implications for Xining, China

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Authors

QRQiutan RenGYGuoliang YunZYZhilan Yang

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Overview

Machine learning study reveals structural tree traits drive urban forest carbon dynamics in high-altitude environments, highlighting targeted community design for carbon sequestration.

Key Points

  • To evaluate carbon storage and sequestration patterns in high-altitude urban green spaces and identify how environmental, structural, and biodiversity factors influence these dynamics.
  • Quantified carbon storage and sequestration across 215 field sample plots in Xining, China, using the i-Tree Eco model.
  • Applied correlation analysis alongside an explainable machine learning approach (XGBoost-SHAP) to examine the relative importance of environmental, plant community, and biodiversity drivers.
  • Urban green spaces demonstrated mean carbon storage and carbon sequestration densities of 4.08 kg C m⁻² and 0.69 kg C m⁻² y⁻¹, respectively.
  • Tree structural diversity (variations in diameter at breast height and height) exhibited a greater influence on carbon metrics than traditional biodiversity indices like the Shannon-Weaver index.
  • Carbon accumulation decreased when tree crown width exceeded 3.5, while shrub performance was strongly mediated by elevation and rainfall.

Cite This Study

Ren et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6fa4ae6c240de38cdb8a20https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101232
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