What question did this study set out to answer?

To estimate the number and proportion of adult COVID-19 deaths in the United States that could have been prevented under hypothetical scenarios of higher vaccination coverage.

January 1, 2023Journal of Pharmacy and Pharmacology ResearchOpen Access

Estimating Vaccine-Preventable COVID-19 Deaths Among Adults Under Counterfactual Vaccination Scenarios in The United States: A Modeling Study Using Observational Data

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Authors

MZMing ZhongShanghai University TGTamara GlazerTranscend Engineering (United States)MKMeghana KshirsagarUniversity of Limerick

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Implication

Modeling study reveals higher vaccination coverage could have prevented up to half of COVID-19 deaths in adults, highlighting the critical value of sustaining peak immunization rates.

Key Points

To estimate the number and proportion of adult COVID-19 deaths in the United States that could have been prevented under hypothetical scenarios of higher vaccination coverage.
Conducted a simulation modeling study covering the period from January 1, 2021, to April 30, 2022.
Integrated state-level population, mortality, and two-dose vaccination data under three counterfactual achievement scenarios.
Under a 100% vaccination counterfactual scenario, an estimated 318,979 deaths—approximately 50% of reported COVID-19 deaths nationally—might have been prevented.
Under an 85% vaccination scenario, an estimated 28% of COVID-19 deaths nationally might have been prevented.
State-level avoidable mortality varied widely, ranging from 25% preventable deaths in Massachusetts to 74% in Alaska.

Cite This Study

Zhong et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a700b2dce524a4339c3d5f4 https://doi.org/10.26502/fjppr.079

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Implication

Modeling study reveals higher vaccination coverage could have prevented up to half of COVID-19 deaths in adults, highlighting the critical value of sustaining peak immunization rates.

Estimating Vaccine-Preventable COVID-19 Deaths Among Adults Under Counterfactual Vaccination Scenarios in The United States: A Modeling Study Using Observational Data

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Estimating Vaccine-Preventable COVID-19 Deaths Among Adults Under Counterfactual Vaccination Scenarios in The United States: A Modeling Study Using Observational Data

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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