Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
This symposium presents 13 articles forecasting the 2012 US national elections. Included in this collection are the eight national and one state presidential vote forecasting models published in PS: Political Science & Politics during the 2008 elections along with three additional forecasts and one article offering a composite of the forecasts. Although the focus remains on the presidential contest, as in past years, several articles extend their scope to cover the congressional elections as well.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
James E. Campbell (2012) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: