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Background Stroke is associated with accelerated cognitive decline in older adults, but whether social support and family connections statistically moderate this association has rarely been tested formally in longitudinal, cross-national data. Methods We analyzed the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS; N = 11,569; Wave 1 [2011] baseline to Wave 4 [2018], up to 7.2 years) and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA; N = 5,713; Wave 3 [2006–2007] baseline to Wave 9 [2019], up to 13.0 years). Cognitive function was assessed with a harmonized composite (orientation, immediate and delayed word recall, plus pentagon drawing in CHARLS). Linear mixed-effects models with random intercepts and slopes estimated the incident-stroke × time interaction (annual cognitive decline, points/year), adjusting for age, sex, BMI, education, marital status, smoking, drinking, comorbidity count, and residence (CHARLS only). A three-way interaction (stroke × social support/family connection × time) formally tested moderation. Propensity-score matching (1:2 nearest-neighbor) and subgroup analyses (age, sex, education) served as sensitivity analyses. Results Incident stroke occurred in 770 CHARLS (6.6%) and 347 ELSA (6.1%) participants. In fully adjusted models, stroke was associated with significantly faster cognitive decline in both cohorts (CHARLS: β = −0.068 points/year, 95% CI − 0.123 to − 0.013, p = 0.016; ELSA: β = −0.190, 95% CI − 0.229 to − 0.152, p < 0.001); after propensity-score matching, the ELSA association remained robust (β = −0.150, p < 0.001) while the CHARLS estimate was attenuated and no longer significant (β = −0.029, p = 0.386). The formal three-way interaction showed that higher family connection significantly attenuated stroke-related decline in ELSA ; the corresponding interaction for social support in CHARLS was directionally consistent but not significant (β = +0.082, 95% CI − 0.037 to 0.202, p = 0.177). Subgroup analyses showed a significant stroke-decline association across all age, sex, and education strata in ELSA, and only among male and less-educated participants in CHARLS. Conclusion Incident stroke was associated with faster cognitive decline in both a Chinese and an English cohort of middle-aged and older adults. A formal statistical test indicated that family connections significantly moderated this association in ELSA, whereas a similar but non-significant pattern was observed for social support in CHARLS. These associations warrant further investigation of social relationships as a potentially modifiable factor in post-stroke cognitive health; the observational design precludes causal conclusions.
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Li et al. (2026) studied this question.
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