Key result
A POSSUM score cut-off of 35 predicted mortality in patients with perforation peritonitis with 100% sensitivity and 72.29% specificity.
Why the study?
Does the POSSUM scoring system predict mortality and morbidity in patients with perforation peritonitis?
Cross-Sectional (n=157)
No
Does the POSSUM scoring system predict mortality and morbidity in patients with perforation peritonitis?
Effect estimate: Sensitivity 100%, Specificity 72.29%
The POSSUM scoring system with a cut-off of 35 is highly sensitive for predicting mortality in patients with perforation peritonitis in a rural Indian setting.
May aid mortality risk stratification in perforation peritonitis; leaves open need for prospective validation.
Background: Peritonitis due to perforation of gastrointestinal viscous is one of the most common surgical emergency in India. A need for such a scoring system was felt which could better define the prognosis of such patients with respect to mortality and morbidity for better patient management. Emphasizing that Perforation peritonitis is one of the commonest surgical emergencies in lower strata of the population that is encountered in a rural hospital, this study was undertaken to evaluate POSSUM (physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity) in defining the prognosis of patients and to deliver efficient management.Methods: 157 patients of perforation peritonitis who were admitted in Surgery wards over a period of 3 years were studied in this cross- sectional study. POSSUM Score was calculated for each patient by using the POSSUM Calculator. ROC analysis was done to find the cut off point for POSSUM.Results: The cut- off was 35 which gave the Sensitivity and Specificity to be 100% and 72.29% respectively. The mortality rate was 5.7%.Conclusions: This was one of the first studies in a rural setup in India where POSSUM scoring system was specifically applied for patients of Perforation Peritonitis. An increasing POSSUM score was associated with higher morbidity and mortality, hence it was concluded that POSSUM is an effective scoring system for predicting outcome in patients of perforation peritonitis.
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Batra et al. (2016) conducted a cross-sectional in Perforation peritonitis (n=157). POSSUM scoring system was evaluated on Mortality prediction (Sensitivity 100%, Specificity 72.29%). A POSSUM score cut-off of 35 predicted mortality in patients with perforation peritonitis with 100% sensitivity and 72.29% specificity.
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