Key result
A linear regression model utilizing CMSE-derived circadian HRV features from early night intervals estimated left ventricular ejection fraction with an RMSE of 4.61% and MAE of 3.74%.
Why the study?
Early identification of LVEF levels during hypertension progression is essential to prevent cardiac deterioration, but non-invasive, cost-effective, and definitive assessment remains challenging.
Does a machine learning framework utilizing CMSE-based circadian heart rate variability features from Holter ECG accurately estimate LVEF in hypertensive patients?
Observational (n=200)
Does a machine learning framework utilizing CMSE-based circadian heart rate variability features from Holter ECG accurately estimate LVEF in hypertensive patients?
Effect estimate: RMSE 4.61%, MAE 3.74%
Machine learning analysis of circadian heart rate variability from standard 24-hour Holter monitors can provide accurate, non-invasive estimation of left ventricular ejection fraction in hypertensive patients.
BACKGROUND: Early identification of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) levels during the progression of hypertension is essential to prevent cardiac deterioration. However, achieving a non-invasive, cost-effective, and definitive assessment is challenging. It has prompted us to develop a comprehensive machine learning framework for the automatic quantitative estimation of LVEF levels from electrocardiography (ECG) signals. METHODS: We enrolled 200 hypertensive patients from Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province, China, from 1 November 2022 to 1 January 2025. Participants underwent 24 h Holter monitoring and echocardiography for LVEF estimation. We developed a comprehensive machine learning framework that initiated with preprocessed ECG signal in one-hour intervals to extract CMSE-based heart rate variability (HRV) features, then utilized machine learning models such as linear regression (LR), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), and random forests (RFs) with recursive feature elimination for optimal LVEF estimation. RESULTS: The LR model, notably during early night interval (20:00-21:00), achieved a RMSE of 4.61% and a MAE of 3.74%, highlighting its superiority. Compared with other similar studies, key CMSE parameters (Scales 1, 5, Slope 1-5, and Area 1-5) can effectively enhance regression models' estimation performance. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that CMSE-derived circadian HRV features from Holter ECG could serve as a non-invasive, cost-effective, and interpretable solution for LVEF assessment in community settings. From a machine learning interpretable perspective, the proposed method emphasized CMSE's clinical potential in capturing autonomic dynamics and cardiac function fluctuations.
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Zhang et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Hypertension (n=200). CMSE-derived circadian HRV features and machine learning was evaluated on LVEF estimation (RMSE 4.61%, MAE 3.74%). A linear regression model utilizing CMSE-derived circadian HRV features from early night intervals estimated left ventricular ejection fraction with an RMSE of 4.61% and MAE of 3.74%.
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