Although the exact etiology of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is not well-defined, it is thought to occur as a result of epithelial-stromal interactions in the appropriate hormonal milieu. Benign prostatic hyperplasia originates in the periurethral and transition zones of the prostate in a microscopic (histologically identifiable) state as early as the third decade of life. With advancing age and the presence of androgens, approximately 50% of microscopic BPH will develop into macroscopic (palpably enlarged prostate) BPH. However, clinically significant BPH, necessitating treatment, will develop in only 50% of men with an enlarged prostate gland. In the United States, the estimated risk of a 50-year old man undergoing therapeutic intervention in his lifetime is approximately 40%. If left untreated, a significant number of symptomatic patients will remain stable or improve without adverse sequelae.
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Joseph E. Oesterling (1996) studied this question.
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