Effects of climate change on Europe-wide winter wheat and sunflower productivity

Spatially expl~cit crop models were developed from mechan~stic principles to lnvestlgate the reglonal impacts of climate change. The approach highlights the spatial variability of crop responses to altered environmental conditions. The mechanistic nature of the models allows some conf ~d e n c e to be placed in the results that are produced under cllmate change scenarios Two crop models have been constructed and applied across a large European region: EuroWheat (winter wheat) and EuroSunfl (sunflower). Model results were compared w ~t h observed phenology and yield across a variety of scales and found to capture the current spatlal v a r ~a b i l ~t y