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August 2, 2021PLoS ONEOpen Access

The best machine learning model outperformed the TIMI risk score for predicting in-hospital (AUC 0.88 vs 0.81), 30-day (AUC 0.90 vs 0.80), and 1-year (AUC 0.84 vs 0.76) mortality (p < 0.0001 for all).

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Why the study?

Conventional risk scores for predicting short- and long-term mortality after STEMI are often not population specific.

Does a machine learning algorithm improve short- and long-term mortality prediction compared to the TIMI risk score in Asian patients with STEMI?

Population

Multi-ethnic Asian STEMI patients in Malaysia (6299 in-hospital, 3130 30-day, 2939 1-year)

Comparison

Machine learning algorithms vs TIMI risk score

Design

Registry-based prediction model development study

Follow-up

Up to 1-year

Authors

SMSorayya MalekKIKhairul Shafiq IbrahimRSRaja Ezman Raja Shariff

Discussion

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Overview

ML models may enhance mortality risk stratification in Asian STEMI patients; leaves open whether they outperform TIMI prospectively or alter management.

Structured PICO

Does a machine learning algorithm improve short- and long-term mortality prediction compared to the TIMI risk score in Asian patients with STEMI?

P
Population
6,299 Asian patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) from the National Cardiovascular Disease Database for Malaysia registry (6,299 for in-hospital, 3,130 for 30-days, and 2,939 for 1-year model development).
I
Intervention
Machine learning algorithms for mortality prediction using up to 50 clinical variables.
C
Comparator
Conventional Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score.
O
Outcome
In-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality prediction (assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]).hard clinical

Machine learning algorithms significantly improve short- and long-term mortality prediction compared to the conventional TIMI risk score in Asian patients with STEMI.

Cite This Study

Malek et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7d6974c66da78fab8b36a3https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254894
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