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Theoretical modeling demonstrates how national inflation affects innovation and technology transfer in open economies, suggesting domestic monetary policies generate global economic spillovers.
This study explores the cross‐country effects of inflation on innovation and technology transfer in a North–South variety‐expansion model. We find that higher southern inflation causes a permanent increase in the North–South relative wage ratio, a temporary decrease in the northern innovation rate, and a permanent decrease in technology transfer. Higher northern inflation causes a permanent decrease in the North–South relative wage ratio, a temporary decrease in the northern innovation rate, and a permanent decrease (increase) in technology transfer if the southern population is sufficiently small (large). We calibrate the model to the China–US data to justify the model implications.
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Chen et al. (2026) studied this question.
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