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August 16, 2026SustainabilityOpen Access

Certification and Market Development in Sustainable Food Systems: Evidence from Organic Agriculture in Europe

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Authors

JSJoana SantosMJMeirielly JesusFMFernando Mata

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Overview

Panel study finds certified organic farmland expansion drives market uptake across 41 European nations, indicating production growth and market maturity are distinct transition dimensions.

Key Points

  • To examine how certified organic production, supply-chain infrastructure, and market uptake co-evolved longitudinally across Europe from 2000 to 2024.
  • Assembled a country–year panel dataset of 995 observations from 41 European countries covering the years 2000 to 2024 using FiBL statistics.
  • Analyzed longitudinal relationships via descriptive trends, Spearman correlations, linear mixed-effects models with country random intercepts adjusted for purchasing power parity GDP per capita, and k-means clustering.
  • Certified organic systems expanded markedly from 2000 to 2024: mean organic farmland share rose from 2.80% to 9.73%, retail sales share increased from 1.42% to 4.49%, and per capita consumption grew from €25.82 to €87.60.
  • Organic farmland share was positively associated with organic retail sales share (β = 1.247, p < 0.001) and per capita consumption (β = 36.426, p < 0.001) after adjusting for GDP per capita.
  • Supply-chain actors were highly intercorrelated (producers–processors ρ = 0.824), and a four-cluster typology showed that countries with the largest certified production bases were not necessarily those with the most mature retail markets.

Cite This Study

Santos et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8179dcf2fb91fc834ad41ehttps://doi.org/10.3390/su18168333
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Also Consider

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  1. 1Organic Animal Products in the EU to Support Sustainable Consumption2025
  2. 2Evaluating the Path to the European Commission’s Organic Agriculture Goal: A Multivariate Analysis of Changes in EU Countries (2004–2021) and Socio-Economic Relationships2024 · 13 citations
  3. 3A systematic review of the determinants and outcomes of organic market structure in emerging economies2026
  4. 4Assessing the level of organic farming development in the European countries2024 · 1 citations
  5. 5Deep pockets needed? Financial health and organic certification adoption in the European Union2026