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August 16, 2026International Relations

Beyond the Red Sea: Ethiopia’s Strategic Reorientation and the Indo-Pacific Frontier

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Authors

SCSara CosattiFDFederico Donelli

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Overview

Case analysis reveals Ethiopia's maritime pursuit connects domestic fragility to Red Sea corridors, highlighting how landlocked states act as unconventional Indo-Pacific actors.

Key Points

  • To examine how a landlocked state develops maritime aspirations and emerges as an unconventional player in Indo-Pacific geopolitics through Ethiopia's agreement with Somaliland.
  • Analyzed Ethiopia's Memorandum of Understanding with Somaliland using neoclassical realism and neoliberal institutionalism.
  • Applied a five-parameter analytical framework assessing trade ties, political-normative interests, security interests, external pressures, and current posture.
  • Demonstrated that Ethiopia's pursuit of sea access links domestic legitimacy pressures and ethnic fragmentation directly to Red Sea corridors and Nile politics.
  • Identified that Ethiopia's geoculturally driven maritime expansion introduces extra-regional rivalries into the Horn of Africa and challenges existing regional norms.

Cite This Study

Cosatti et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a817a72f2fb91fc834ae4e8https://doi.org/10.1177/00471178261477218
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Ethiopia’s quest for sea access: strategic imperatives, responses and geopolitical repercussions2025 · 2 citations
  2. 2Internal Determinants of Ethiopian Foreign Policy Decisions: The Case of the Memorandum of Understanding with Somaliland2026
  3. 3Political Dynamics in the Horn of Africa and the Problem of the Ethiopia’s Access to the Sea2025
  4. 4Ethiopia's Quest to Access the Sea: An International Law Perspective2025
  5. 5Reconceptualising the red sea neighbourhood: Bab-el-Mandeb, maritime space, and regional boundaries2026