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A cohort of 1,192 first admissions to metropolitan public alcohol treatment programs was examined after 2 years. With the sample sub-divided by number of readmissions, discriminant analysis based on demographic data, social history, and current drinking behavior provided only modest prediction of group membership (k = .46), but may be sufficient to provide an alerting function for recidivism.
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Holland et al. (1984) studied this question.
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