Rapid emergence and transmission of virulence-associated mutations in the oral poliovirus vaccine following vaccination campaigns

Figures

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  Figure 1.. The increasing global burden of vaccine-derived poliovirus. (a) Confirmed cases of paralytic polio reported to the World Health Organization from 2000-2022. Color indicates source: circulating vaccine derived poliovirus (cVDPV) and wild poliovirus cases. (b) Map of countries reporting cVDPV cases in from 2020-2022; fill indicates number of cVDPV cases identified. Data from the World Health Organization.

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  Figure 2.. Prospective study of OPV shedding among vaccinated children, household members, and community members following a vaccination campaign. (a) Map of Mexico with Veracruz State highlighted and Orizaba city, where the study took place, indicated with a red point. (b) We conducted a prospective observational study of OPV viral shedding following a vaccination campaign. 155 children were enrolled and vaccinated with trivalent OPV. Stool was collected from vaccinated children, unvaccinated household members, and community members in unvaccinated households. We extracted RNA from stool samples, tested samples with OPV serotype-specific RT-PCR, and Sanger sequenced positive samples.

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  Figure 3.. Limited overall genetic diversity in sampled OPV viral capsid protein 1 (VP1) gene following vaccination campaigns. For each OPV serotype and sampling site, haplotype networks of OPV VP1 representing sampled genetic diversity. Nodes indicate identical haplotypes (VP1 consensus sequences) and node size indicates the number of samples sharing a haplotype. Points on edges between nodes indicate the SNP distance between haplotypes and node colors indicate individual’s vaccination status. Labels indicate OPV serotype and study site. Site C, Capoluca, had 70% vaccination coverage of eligible children; site CG, Campo Grande: 30%; site T, Tuxpanguillo: 10%. One sample with a distant haplotype (>14 SNPs distant to the Sabin vaccine) was removed from OPV-2 site C, to aid visualization.

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  Figure 4.. Measurable evolution in the OPV VP1 gene following vaccination campaigns. Genetic distance of the OPV VP1 gene to the Sabin vaccine strain versus time from vaccination for vaccinated children (blue) and not vaccinated study participants, including household contacts and unvaccinated community members (red), for each OPV serotype (a-c). Black lines and grey shading of a linear model for distance to the Sabin strain. Days following vaccination is measured as days from first vaccination (for vaccinated children), day from first household vaccination (for non-vaccinated household members), and days from first community vaccination (for non-vaccinated community members). Red dashed lines indicate the genetic distance threshold for a cVDPV: 10 SNPs distant from the Sabin vaccine for serotypes 1 and 3 and 6 SNPs distant for serotype 2.

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  Figure 5.. Moderate genetic structure of OPV VP1 gene from samples shed two months following vaccination campaigns. The proportion of pairs of OPV VP1 sequences within a given, binned pairwise genetic distance for samples collected longitudinally from the same individual, from the same household, the same community, or outside the community. Facets indicate OPV serotype.

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  Figure 6.. Loss of OPV attenuating mutations following vaccination. For each serotype, points indicate the revertant proportion, the proportion of samples with a mutation at a key attenuating position in OPV in the weeks following vaccination. Bars indicate the total number of sequences available for that sampling week. Each serotype has unique attenuating sites.