What question did this study set out to answer?

To examine the short- and long-run impacts of urbanization, unemployment, information and communication technology, and climate change on economic growth in Somalia.

August 19, 2026Cogent Economics & FinanceOpen Access

Assessing the impact of urbanization, unemployment, ICT, and Climate change on economic growth in Somalia

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Authors

ANAbdikadir Abdi Nor AAAbdirahman Ibrahim Abas MFMohamed Ali Farah

Discussion

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Overview

Time-series econometric analysis reveals that climate warming and unemployment hinder economic growth while urbanization drives it in Somalia, indicating a need for resilient infrastructure.

Key Points

To examine the short- and long-run impacts of urbanization, unemployment, information and communication technology, and climate change on economic growth in Somalia.
Analyzed annual time-series data from Somalia covering the period 1991–2022.
Employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to evaluate short-run and long-run cointegration alongside Granger causality analysis.
Verified the robustness of long-run estimates using Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS), Dynamic OLS (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) estimators.
Rising temperature and higher unemployment rates showed statistically significant negative long-run effects on economic growth.
Urbanization demonstrated a statistically significant positive effect on economic growth in the long run.
Internet adoption exhibited a positive but statistically non-significant effect in the ARDL model, though robustness estimators supported a positive long-run association.

Cite This Study

Nor et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8563d703308d306e2d72f2 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2026.2719115

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August 19, 2026Cogent Economics & FinanceOpen Access

Assessing the impact of urbanization, unemployment, ICT, and Climate change on economic growth in Somalia

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

ANAbdikadir Abdi Nor AAAbdirahman Ibrahim Abas MFMohamed Ali Farah

Discussion

Member takes

Overview

Time-series econometric analysis reveals that climate warming and unemployment hinder economic growth while urbanization drives it in Somalia, indicating a need for resilient infrastructure.

Key Points

To examine the short- and long-run impacts of urbanization, unemployment, information and communication technology, and climate change on economic growth in Somalia.
Analyzed annual time-series data from Somalia covering the period 1991–2022.
Employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to evaluate short-run and long-run cointegration alongside Granger causality analysis.
Verified the robustness of long-run estimates using Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS), Dynamic OLS (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) estimators.
Rising temperature and higher unemployment rates showed statistically significant negative long-run effects on economic growth.
Urbanization demonstrated a statistically significant positive effect on economic growth in the long run.
Internet adoption exhibited a positive but statistically non-significant effect in the ARDL model, though robustness estimators supported a positive long-run association.

Cite This Study

Nor et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8563d703308d306e2d72f2 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2026.2719115

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