Key result
Persistent or permanent AF, previous stroke, fibrinogen, left atrial diameter, LVEF, and LAA maximum caliber were independent predictors of LAA thrombosis and SEC, yielding a predictive nomogram with an AUC of 0.824.
Why the study?
This study investigated possible mechanisms of LAA thrombosis and constructed a model to evaluate the future risk of LAA thrombosis and SEC in patients with NVAF.
Observational (n=2,591)
No
Odds Ratio: 1.857 (95% CI 1.169–2.951)
p-value: p=0.009
A nomogram incorporating AF type, previous stroke, fibrinogen, LA diameter, LVEF, and LAA maximum caliber can effectively predict the risk of LAA thrombosis and SEC in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
Hypothesis-generating for LAA thrombosis risk in AF; requires prospective validation before clinical use.
PURPOSE: This study investigated possible mechanism of left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombosis and constructed a model to evaluate the future risk of LAA thrombosis and spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients. METHODS: This retrospective study included 2591 patients diagnosed with NVAF. Patients were divided based on the presence of transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) into a thrombus group, SEC group, and control group. General, biochemical, and echocardiography data of the three groups were analyzed. The variables independently associated with LAA thrombosis and SEC were determined by the logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was constituted based on the regression analysis and the discriminatory ability was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: LAA thrombosis and SEC were present in 110 (4.2%) patients and 103 (3.9%) patients, respectively. AF type (OR = 1.857), previous stroke (OR = 1.924), fibrinogen (OR = 1.636), diameters of the left atria (OR = 1.094), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR = 0.938), and LAA maximum caliber (OR = 1.238) resulted as independent risk factors for LAA thrombosis and SEC. The area under curve of the nomogram established by multivariate logistic regression was 0.824. Conclusions; Through the study, 6 independent risk factors related to the LAA thrombosis and SEC were found, and an effective nomogram was constructed to predict the LAA thrombosis and SEC in NVAF patients.
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Wang et al. (2023) conducted an observational in Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (n=2,591). Persistent or permanent atrial fibrillation vs. Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation was evaluated on Left atrial appendage thrombosis and spontaneous echo contrast (OR 1.857, 95% CI 1.169-2.951, p=0.009). Persistent or permanent AF, previous stroke, fibrinogen, left atrial diameter, LVEF, and LAA maximum caliber were independent predictors of LAA thrombosis and SEC, yielding a predictive nomogram with an AUC of 0.824.
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