Why the study?
Patients with AF and prior stroke face increased risk of recurrent thromboembolism, but the impact of the number of prior stroke episodes on their natural history remains unclear.
Does the number of previous strokes increase the risk of all-cause mortality and thromboembolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation?
Does the number of previous strokes increase the risk of all-cause mortality and thromboembolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation?
In patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation, a history of multiple previous strokes is associated with a progressively higher risk of all-cause mortality and thromboembolism.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May identify higher-risk AF patients for closer monitoring; leaves open whether stroke count should guide therapy.
BACKGROUND: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who suffered a previous stroke are at increased risk of recurrent thromboembolic events and other major outcomes. The impact of the number of stroke episodes on the natural history of patients with AF is still unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using data from the international, multicenter, and prospective GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) Registry Phase III, we categorized patients with a recent diagnosis of non-valvular AF according to the number of previous strokes (either 0, 1, or ≥2 episodes). We analyzed use of oral anticoagulants through multiple logistic regression model, and risk of major outcomes using multiple Cox-regression models; our primary outcome was all-cause death. Among 21 223 patients (mean age: 70.2±10.3 years; 44.9% female) included, 2251 (10.6%) had a previous history of stroke, and 216 (1.0%) had ≥2 or more strokes. Oral anticoagulants were used in ≥80% of patients regardless of the numbers of previous stroke, although those with 1 (versus >1) prior stroke showed lower odds of receiving oral anticoagulants (odds ratio [95% CI]: 0.83 [0.73-0.94]). During 3-years follow-up, the risk of all-cause mortality increased with the number of previous strokes (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.46 [1.28-1.67] and 2.43 [1.79-3.29] for 1 versus 0 and ≥2 versus 0 previous strokes, respectively). Similar results were observed for other secondary outcomes, including thromboembolism, but not for major bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: History of stroke still represents a key risk factor in patients with AF. Patients who suffered more than 1 episodes of stroke had significantly worse prognosis and further efforts may be required to improve their clinical outcomes.
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Lam et al. (2025) studied this question.
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