Key result
In 194 high-risk patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery, the observed surgical mortality was 0%, which was substantially lower than the predicted mortality rates of 25.02% by EuroSCORE I, 7.78% by EuroSCORE II, and 2.84% by STS.
Why the study?
The study was conducted to analyze the effectiveness of EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II, and STS risk calculators in patients with ischemic disease prior to cardiac surgery.
Does preoperative risk stratification using EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II, and STS accurately predict surgical mortality in high-risk patients with coronary heart disease undergoing cardiac surgery?
Cohort (n=194)
No
Does preoperative risk stratification using EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II, and STS accurately predict surgical mortality in high-risk patients with coronary heart disease undergoing cardiac surgery?
EuroSCORE II and STS calculators may significantly overestimate surgical mortality in high-risk patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery when performed by highly experienced cardiac teams.
Risk scores may overestimate mortality in high-risk CABG; hypothesis-generating for validation in experienced surgical cohorts.
Objective. To analyse the risk stratification effectiveness for calculators EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II, STS in patients with ischemic disease before cardiac surgery. Materials and methods. Retrospective analysis of data was conducted from randomized 194 patients with coronary artery disease who were discharged from the Amosov National Institute of Cardiovascular Surgery after coronary artery bypass surgery in the period 2009 - 2019. An average age of patients was (64.2 ± 8.9). In all patients clinical and laboratory studies, echocardiography, electrocardiography, coronary angiography as well as surgical revascularization were conducted. Preoperative risk stratification was performed using three available calculators Euro SCORE I, EuroSCORE II and STS. Results. There was no mortality in the study group of patients, while the predicted surgical mortality on the EuroSCORE I scale was 25.02%, EuroSCORE II - 7.78%, STS - 2.84%. According to the results of twenty years period of the Amosov National Institute of Cardiovascular Surgery in the surgical treatment of coronary heart disease in more than 15,000 patients, mortality from coronary heart disease was less than 0.6%, which is much less than the predicted mortality rates. Conclusions. Prior to surgery, risk stratification of patients should be performed on appropriate scales to understand their baseline status. The EuroSCORE II scale is optimal for use in modern cardiac surgery. Surgery in patients with a high estimated risk (EuroSCORE II> 5%) should be performed by an experienced cardiac surgeon with more than 10 years of cardiac surgery experience.
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Gogayeva et al. (2021) conducted a cohort in Coronary heart disease (n=194). Coronary artery bypass surgery in high-risk patients vs. Predicted risk scores (EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II, STS) was evaluated on Surgical mortality. In 194 high-risk patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery, the observed surgical mortality was 0%, which was substantially lower than the predicted mortality rates of 25.02% by EuroSCORE I, 7.78% by EuroSCORE II, and 2.84% by STS.
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